What Financial Risk Means
A plain definition of risk and financial risk, and how a risk differs from a problem that has already happened.
8 min
Activities: 0 of 2
Every organisation makes plans about money. It expects customers to pay. It expects costs to stay near the budget. It expects the bank to keep its loan in place. Most of the time these plans work. Sometimes they do not.
The international risk standard, ISO 31000:2018, defines risk as the "effect of uncertainty on objectives". In plain words: something might happen, we do not know if it will, and if it does, it changes what we are trying to achieve.
Financial risk is risk where the effect is on money. It is the chance that cash arrives later than planned, costs rise, income falls, or the value of what the organisation owns or owes changes. The money effect can be small, such as one late invoice. It can also be large enough to close the business.
Two short examples
A logistics company. One large retail customer brings 40% of all sales. The customer has always paid on time. The financial risk is that this customer pays late or stops paying. If that happens, the company may not have enough cash to pay its drivers at the end of the month.
A small manufacturer. The company buys steel from abroad and pays in US dollars. It sells its products in local currency. The financial risk is that the dollar becomes more expensive. The same steel then costs more in local money, but the selling prices are already agreed. Profit falls even though nothing changed in the factory.
In both cases nothing has gone wrong yet. The risk is the possibility and its size.
Uncertainty can go both ways
ISO 31000:2018 notes that the effect of uncertainty can be positive or negative. The dollar in the manufacturer example could also become cheaper, and profit would rise. Finance teams usually focus on the downside, because a loss of cash can stop the business. A good risk manager still notices the upside and does not waste it.
A common mistake is to think financial risk belongs only to banks or to large listed companies. A small trading firm, a hospital, a school or a construction contractor all carry financial risk every day. The size changes. The logic does not.
Key words
A supplier has warned that its prices may rise by 10% next quarter. Nothing has changed yet. How should a finance officer describe this?