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Decision Making Under Uncertainty

How to make sound, timely decisions when information is incomplete: decision types, bias awareness, simple frameworks, and communicating a decision so people can act on it. For supervisors, engineers and professionals in industrial and energy organisations, and for self-directed learners.

51m
Total time
4
Competency levels
12
Lessons

What you'll learn

  • Explain the difference between reversible and one-way-door decisions, and between routine and novel decisions
  • Recognise common biases — confirmation, anchoring, sunk cost and groupthink — and apply practical counters to each
  • Apply simple frameworks (weighted pros and cons, explicit decision criteria, who-decides clarity) to structure a real decision
  • Decide under time pressure with incomplete information, matching the depth of analysis to the stakes and reversibility of the decision
  • Communicate a decision with its rationale, and stand behind it while remaining open to new evidence

Curriculum

Progress through each competency level in order.

1

Awareness

  • What Kind of Decision Is This?
    Knowledge
    2m
  • Data Plus Judgement
    Knowledge
    2m
  • Awareness Check: Decision Basics
    Assessment
    7m
2

Knowledge

  • Four Biases That Distort Decisions
    Knowledge
    2m
  • Simple Frameworks That Earn Their Keep
    Knowledge
    2m
  • Knowledge Check: Biases and Frameworks
    Assessment
    8m
3

Skill

  • Deciding Under Time Pressure
    Knowledge
    3m
  • Run a Structured Decision
    Assignment
    3m
  • Skill Check: Deciding in the Real World
    Assessment
    8m
4

Mastery

  • Communicating and Standing Behind Decisions
    Knowledge
    3m
  • Lead and Land a Significant Decision
    Assignment
    3m
  • Mastery Assessment: Judgement Under Fire
    Assessment
    8m

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